The state pension triple lock is under scrutiny, according to a report from Sir Tony Blair’s think tank. The triple lock ensures that the state pension increases annually based on the highest of earnings growth, inflation, or a minimum of 2.5%. Introduced in 2010, it was first applied in the 2011/12 fiscal year, with this year’s pension seeing a 4.8% rise in line with wage growth.
The Tony Blair Institute (TBI) report argues that the current state pension system is outdated, unsustainable, and inflexible for modern lifestyles. The TBI proposes a “lifespan fund” that accumulates entitlement over 20 years through activities such as work, caregiving, and education as an alternative.
The fund would allow individuals to access funds earlier in life, with automatic enrollment into higher National Insurance contributions upon returning to work after tapping into their retirement fund. Tom Smith, TBI’s director of economic policy, emphasized the need for reform, stating that the triple lock should not continue post the upcoming election.
The report projects a significant increase in the number of pensioners by 2070, with state pension spending estimated to rise from 5% to 7.8% of GDP under the current system. The TBI’s proposed model aims to stabilize state pension spending at around 5.5% of GDP, potentially saving £66 billion annually by 2070.
Caroline Abrahams, Age UK’s charity director, advocates for retaining the triple lock into the next parliament, citing its positive impact on the living standards of vulnerable pensioners. However, a Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) spokesperson highlighted the government’s commitment to the triple lock for the current Parliament, ensuring pensioners receive increased yearly state pensions.
The DWP affirmed its focus on supporting pensioners, with ongoing assessments to ensure secure retirements for future pensioners. Various support options, including universal credit and means-tested benefits, are available for those approaching retirement age needing additional assistance.



